Forex Fundamentals Are Multidimensional

Futures; ChicagoVol. 38 Nbr. 10, October 2009

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Summary


Currency movements reflect multiple dimensions of the world economy. Technical forex traders make decisions based on charts. The justification of these "charrists" is that the price reflects all known information, so it's the best indicator for shaping trading strategies. But if price were a good indicator, then there would be few surprises in the market. By focusing on technical analysis alone, they risk missing leading fundamental indicators of currency direction. Fundamentals, however, are multidimensional. China is dimension of increasing importance. Chinese growth impacts the world economy because 35% of the Chinese economy is based on consumption. Some specific strategies for the coming months using this roughly constructed list: 1. the interest rate recovery strategy, 2. China growth strategy, and 3. commodity complex.

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Forex Fundamentals Are Multidimensional

Currency movements reflect multiple dimensions of the world economy. Technical forex traders make decisions based on charts. The justification of these "chartists" is that the price reflects all known information, so it's the b...

See the full content of this document

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